Analysis Reports

A running index of reports, redeployed whenever a new one is published.

September 12, 2026

El Niño 2026–27: What It Means for Sacramento

A potentially historic El Niño is strengthening (>90% odds of "very strong"). The outlook tilts toward a warmer, wetter winter — but NWS Sacramento stresses little historical correlation with local precipitation, and atmospheric rivers will likely decide the season. Covers ENSO status, Sierra snowpack, flood risk, fire season, and the state's water posture.

September 12, 2026

Meta Muse vs. Hermes: Two Kinds of Personal AI Agent

Meta's cloud personal agent against the open-source self-hosted Hermes: capabilities head-to-head, what early users and internal testers are saying about Muse, what self-hosters report about Hermes, and where the two complement each other.

September 12, 2026

Welcome

This index tracks analysis reports as they're produced. New entries appear at the top with a date, a short summary, and a link to the full report.